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Industry Report > The production of stainless steel and social inventory have significantly decreased, and stainless steel has experienced three consecutive increases after a long absence
The production of stainless steel and social inventory have significantly decreased, and stainless steel has experienced three consecutive increases after a long absence
Postdate:2023-04-18 Views:1223
1、 Raw Material Report:
1. Nickel: On April 17th, the three-month closing price of nickel in London was $24701, up $569, or 2.36%; The latest continuous price of Shanghai nickel is 188420 yuan, up 470 yuan or 0.25%. Shanghai High Carbon Chromium Iron FeCr55C1000 (50 base) 8700 yuan/50 base tons. Luoyang molybdenum iron FeMo60 dropped by 2500 yuan or 1.36% to 182000 yuan/ton.
2. The latest price of stainless steel SS2305 is 15410 yuan, up 15 yuan or 0.10%; The holding volume is 46931 hands and the trading volume is 46930 hands.
3. Price of Dainan waste stainless steel
201 New materials 5400-5500304 Industrial 10400-10500304 New materials 10600-10700304 Particleboard 9200-9300;
316 shavings 15700-15800316 large furnace 17100-17400310 clinker 26600-26800;
430 no film 4500-4600431 return material 3950-4050.
2、 Wuxi stainless steel plate coil reference price
1. Taiyuan Iron and Steel Hot Rolling Guiding Price:
300 hot rolled series: 16200 yuan/ton for 304/NO.1; 19700 yuan/ton for 321/NO.1; 26100 yuan/ton for 316L/NO.1.
Medium plate (cut edge, thickness: 14-20mm, width: 1500mm) 304 material -17400 yuan/ton, 321 material 23500 yuan/ton, 316L material 32700 yuan/ton.
2. Dongte Hot Rolling Guiding Price:
S30408 material: 14900 yuan/ton for 4-12mm, 15100 yuan/ton for 14mm; 15600 yuan/ton for 16mm;
S31603 material: 25100 yuan/ton for 4-12mm, 25500 yuan/ton for 14mm; 26000 yuan/ton for 16mm;
310S hot-rolled flat plate 3: 38800 yuan/ton for 4mm, 37900 yuan/ton for 5-12mm, and 39000 yuan/ton for 14mm.
3. Dongte 2205 hot rolled at 26500 yuan/ton.
4. Qingshan hot rolling: 304 material, 15100 yuan/ton;
5. Zhangpu guide price: 16000 yuan/ton for 304 materials, 18700 yuan/ton for 321 hot-rolled materials; 316L hot-rolled 26100 yuan/ton.
3、 Reference price of stainless steel pipe and rod
1. The price of Qingshan round steel in April is ? 65-130. S30400 material costs 15000 yuan/ton, 316L material costs 23700 yuan/ton, TP321 material costs 17900 yuan/ton, and 321 material costs 16700 yuan/ton. 304 raw pipe round steel price+900316L raw pipe round steel price+1000321 raw pipe round steel price+900.
2. Delong round steel ? 65-130 S30400 material is 14800 yuan/ton, and 316L material is 23500 yuan/ton.
3. Yongxing Bar Material ? 65-130: 304 material 17800 yuan/ton, TP321 material 20600 yuan/ton, 316L material 30800 yuan/ton, 316LGB material 34800 yuan/ton, S22053 material 31800 yuan/ton.
4. S30400 material costs 18400 yuan/ton, 316LS material costs 29000 yuan/ton, and 32107 material costs 20600 yuan/ton.
5. [Fukai round steel market value] ¢ 65-130: Jiangyin Hanzhou 2205/F60 material 28500 yuan/ton, 2507 material/F53 material 37500 yuan/ton, 630/17-4PH material 18000 yuan/ton. Wuxi Puhengjia 304L material: 17600 yuan/ton for ? 140-250, 17800 yuan/ton for ? 260-400; 316L material: 25800 yuan/ton for ? 140-250, 26000 yuan/ton for ? 260-400.
6. Zhejiang Benji Pipe Reference Price
Stainless steel seamless pipe 30408 material, specification 25 * 2 * 6000, cold drawn pipe, pickled and weighed for delivery -28 yuan/kg;
Stainless steel seamless pipe S31603 material, specification 25 * 2 * 6000, cold drawn pipe, pickled and weighed for delivery -39.2 yuan/kg;
Stainless steel seamless pipe S32168 material, specification 25 * 2 * 6000, cold drawn pipe, pickled and weighed for delivery -32.1 yuan/kg;
Stainless steel welded pipe 30408 material, specifications 219-813 * 4-6, pickled and weighed for delivery -21.1 yuan/kg;
Stainless steel welded pipe S31603 material, specifications 219-813 * 4-6, pickled and weighed for delivery -33.5 yuan/kg;
Stainless steel welded pipe 32168 material, specification 219-813 * 4-6, pickled and weighed for delivery -28.1 yuan/kg.
4、 Statistical data (according to Mysteel research):
On April 13, 2023, the social inventory of stainless steel in the mainstream market nationwide was 1185599 tons, a decrease of 59674 tons or 4.79% compared to last week. Among them:
The total inventory of cold rolled stainless steel is 664269 tons, a decrease of 353451 tons or 5.05% compared to last week;
The total inventory of hot-rolled stainless steel is 521330 tons, an increase of 24329 tons or a decrease of 4.46% compared to the previous week;
The total inventory of the 200 series is 235832 tons, a decrease of 22032 tons or 8.54% compared to last week;
The total inventory of the 300 series is 697472 tons, a decrease of 39909 tons or 5.41% compared to last week;
The total inventory of the 400 series is 252295 tons, an increase of 2267 tons or 0.91% compared to the previous week.
Wuxis inventory is 649431 tons, a decrease of 28989 tons or 4.27% compared to last week.
Foshans inventory is 347306 tons, a decrease of 38375 tons or 9.95% compared to last week.
Zibo, Jieyang, Shenyang, and Xian have 188862 tons of inventory, an increase of 7690 tons or 4.24% compared to the previous week.
5、 Market analysis
In March, the total production of steel bars by 18 domestic stainless steel factories reached 148700 tons, a decrease of 9.44% month on month and 21.53% year on year. The production of other types of stainless steel also decreased almost entirely. In addition, on April 13th, the social inventory of stainless steel showed a decrease of nearly 60000 tons, a decrease of 4.79%. This dual benefit provided strong support for stainless steel and brought about three consecutive increases. Entering the morning, Qingshan once again comprehensively raised the price of stainless steel bars, resulting in a nationwide increase in stainless steel pipes.
Recently, the valuation of stainless steel has been repaired and the demand for restocking has continued to rebound. However, under current prices, the undervaluation phenomenon has been alleviated, and the demand for restocking has gradually released and may not be sustainable. The immediate profits of steel mills have significantly improved, and there may be changes in the early production reduction plan. The sustained upward momentum of prices is weakening, and the supply and demand of the middle line is not optimistic. Therefore, stainless steel prices should not be excessively pursued. However, due to the short-term warming of peripheral sentiment, it is estimated that the price of stainless steel will be strong and volatile, and the rebound mentality will be maintained temporarily.
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