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The nickel market supply is sufficient, but the international molybdenum price has risen sharply, and the price of Qingshan 316L rod has increased by 600 yuan
Postdate:2023-12-20 Views:348
1. Raw material report:
1. Nickel: On December 19, London nickel closed at $16,747, up $245, or 1.48%; Shanghai Nickel 2401 latest price 130,880 yuan, down 290 yuan, down 0.22%; Shanghai high carbon ferrochrome FeCr55C1000(50 base) 8800 yuan /50 base ton. Luoyang ferro molybdenum FeMo60 215000 yuan/ton, up 5000.
2, stainless steel SS2402 latest price 13840 yuan, up 120 yuan, an increase of 0.87%; The open position was 111,559 lots and the trading volume was 78,539 lots.
3, Qingtuo Wenzhou Haitong freight yard waste stainless steel purchase price:
1), 304 special grade material 9500 yuan/ton, 304 new material 9400 yuan/ton, 304 industrial material/film material 9100 yuan/ton, 304 dry shavings 8400-8600 yuan/ton.
2), 316L industrial material 17000 yuan/ton, 316 clean material 17200 yuan/ton, 316 dry shavings 15400-15500 yuan/ton.
3), 2205 steel plane 14000 yuan/ton, 2205 Angle material 14500 yuan/ton.
Second, Wuxi stainless steel coil reference price
1, TISCO hot rolling guide price:
300 hot rolling series: 304/NO.1 14800 yuan/ton; 15,900 yuan/ton of 321/ NO.1; 24,800 yuan/ton for 316L/NO.1.
Middle plate (cut edge, thickness: 14-20mm, width: 1500mm) 304 material - 16400 yuan/ton, 321 material 21,200 yuan/ton, 316L material 28600 yuan/ton.
2, Dongte hot rolling guide price:
S30408 material 4-12mm 12900 yuan/ton, 14mm 13100 yuan/ton; 13600 yuan/ton for 16mm;
S31603 material 4-12mm 23300 yuan/ton, 14mm 23700 yuan/ton; 24,200 yuan/ton for 16mm;
310S hot rolled plate 3, 4mm 34900 yuan/ton, 5-12mm 34100 yuan/ton, 14mm 35100 yuan/ton.
3, Dongte 2205 hot rolling 24600 yuan/ton, Dingxin 310S material 3mm 34,000 yuan/ton, 4-10mm 33900 yuan/ton.
4, Qingshan hot rolling: 304 material 12700 yuan/ton;
5, Zhangpu guide price: 304 material 13,800 yuan/ton, 321 hot rolled 17,000 yuan/ton; 316L hot rolled 24000 yuan/ton.
Third, stainless steel pipe rod reference price
1, [Qingshan round steel price ¢65-130 December price] S30400 material 12,700 yuan/ton, 316L material 22,400 yuan/ton, TP321 material 15,600 yuan/ton, 321 material 14,400 yuan/ton.
2, 【 Delong round steel ¢65-130】S30400 material 12700 yuan/ton, 316L material yuan/ton seal.
3, [Yongxing bar ¢65-130] 304 material 16,300 yuan/ton, TP321 material 18,900 yuan/ton, 316L material 27500 yuan/ton, 316LGB material 30700 yuan/ton, S22053 material 29000 yuan/ton.
4. 【 Fukai Market price 】 :
1), 2205 material ¢65-130 round steel 24700 yuan/ton; 2205 material continuous casting billet - 170-250 24200 yuan/ton;
2), TP316L continuous casting billet 150-250:23200 yuan/ton; 3), NO8810 electroslag ingot ¢360-900:64,000 yuan/ton;
4), NO8825 electroslag ingot ¢360-900:97000 yuan/ton; 5), 17-4 electroslag ingot ¢360-900:20000 yuan/ton;
6), 625 vacuum electroslag ingot ¢360-900:203000 yuan/ton; 7), 6600 vacuum electroslag ingot - 360-900:150,000 yuan/ton;
8), C-276 vacuum electroslag ingot ¢360-900:227000 yuan/ton; 9), 718 vacuum electroslag ingot ¢360-900:178000 yuan/ton;
10), Jiangyin Hanzhou 2205/F60 material 29500 yuan/ton, 2507 material /F53 material 38000 yuan/ton, 630/17-4PH material 18000 yuan/ton.
11), Wuxi Puheng Forging round 304L material 15100 yuan/ton of 140-250, 15300 yuan/ton of 260-400; 316L material 24400 yuan/ton of 140-250, 24600 yuan/ton of 260-400.
5, 【 Zhejiang Benji pipe reference price 】
Stainless steel seamless pipe 30408 material, specifications 25*2*6000 cold drawn pipe pickling delivery - 25.7 yuan /kg;
Stainless steel seamless pipe S31603 material, specifications 25*2*6000 cold drawn pipe pickling delivery - 37.2 yuan /kg;
Stainless steel seamless pipe S32168 material, specifications 25*2*6000 cold drawn pipe pickling delivery - 29.7 yuan /kg;
Stainless steel welded pipe 30408 material, specification 219-813*4-6 pickling pound delivery -- 19.3 yuan /kg;
Stainless steel welded pipe S31603 material, specification 219-813*4-6 pickling pound delivery -- 31.8 yuan /kg;
Stainless steel welded pipe 32168 material, specification 219-813*4-6 pickling pound delivery -- 26.4 yuan /kg.
Iv. Statistical Data:
According to Mysteel:
On December 14, 2023, the national mainstream market stainless steel social inventory of 871,608 tons, 41,575 tons less than last week, a reduction of 4.55%, of which:
Cold-rolled stainless steel inventory total 476,347 tons, 30,728 tons less than last week, a decrease of 6.06%;
The total inventory of hot-rolled stainless steel is 395,261 tons, down 10,847 tons from last week, a decrease of 2.67%;
The total inventory of 200 series is 146,976 tons, less than last week by 6,362 tons, a decrease of 4.15%;
The total inventory of 300 series is 554,517 tons, down 36,043 tons from last week, a decrease of 6.10%;
The total inventory of 400 series is 170,115 tons, an increase of 830 tons over the previous week, an increase of 0.49%.
Wuxi inventory of 527,240 tons, down 22,111 tons from last week, a decrease of 4.02%
Foshans inventory is 231,546 tons, down 22,897 tons from last week, a decrease of 9.00%.
Zibo, Jieyang, Shenyang, Xi an inventory of 112,822 tons, an increase of 3433 tons over the previous week, an increase of 3.14%.
5. Market analysis
According to foreign news on December 5, an Indonesian government official said that the countrys nickel production in 2023 is expected to be between 1.65 million and 1.75 million tons. According to the International Nickel Research Group (INSG), Indonesias primary nickel production rose 32% to 1.16 million tonnes last year, accounting for 38% of global production and more than doubling the countrys 16% share in 2019.
According to the data released by the London Metal Exchange (LME) and the Shanghai Futures Exchange (the previous session), the inventory of Lun nickel and Shanghai nickel has recently shown a continuous rising trend. This trend indicates that the nickel market is relatively well supplied, while demand may not be keeping up.
According to LME data, last week, the overall Lun nickel inventory continued to rise, yesterdays inventory increase was relatively obvious, the latest inventory level of 51,840 tons, increased to a new 11-month high. This data shows that the supply of the current nickel market is relatively sufficient, which may produce a certain pressure on nickel prices.
After the steel mill canceled the price limit, the shipping attitude of agents and traders was more positive, and the real single bargaining space was loosened, so the total social inventory of stainless steel continued to decline significantly.
Boosted by the sharp rise in international molybdenum prices to promote the steady development of the domestic molybdenum market, the first impact, Qingshan 316L bar significantly increased 600 yuan/ton.
At present, there is a certain excess of stainless steel production capacity, and the cost of the price center continues to move down, but because the loss of stainless steel plants, nickel iron plants have not been substantially improved, the downside of stainless steel prices or limited, and the current actual production reduction of stainless steel plants is relatively large, coupled with good macro expectations, stainless steel prices or shock operation.
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