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Industry Report > Indonesia has become a major player in the global nickel market, while the stainless steel market is described as "slow"
Indonesia has become a major player in the global nickel market, while the stainless steel market is described as "slow"
Postdate:2024-04-11 Views:1129
1. Raw material report:
1. Nickel: On April 10, London nickel closed at $18,580, up $800, or 4.50%; Shanghai Nickel 2405 latest price 139610 yuan, up 360 yuan, up 0.26%; Shanghai high carbon ferrochrome FeCr55C1000(50 base) 8850 yuan /50 base ton. Luoyang ferro molybdenum FeMo60 218000 yuan/ton, up 3000 yuan.
2, stainless steel SS2405 latest price 13835 yuan, up 45 yuan, an increase of 0.33%; The open position was 74,705 lots and the trading volume was 168,156 lots.
3, Fujian Qingtuo Yongchang freight yard waste stainless steel purchase price:
1), 304 first-grade white material (small punching plate, laser material, round steel, edge wire) 10100-10200 yuan/ton, 304 new pipe head scraps 10100 yuan/ton.
2), 316 new pipe head scrap 17500 yuan/ton, 316 first grade white material (small punching plate, laser material, round steel, edge wire) 17600-17700 yuan/ton.
3), 2205 whiteboard, thick tube, round steel 17,600 yuan/ton, 2507 whiteboard, thick tube, round steel 22,200 yuan/ton,2520 white material, tube plate, round steel to be collected.
Second, Wuxi stainless steel coil reference price
1, TISCO hot rolling guide price:
300 hot rolling series: 15200 yuan/ton of 304/NO.1; 16,100 yuan/ton of 321/ NO.1; 24,800 yuan/ton for 316L/NO.1.
Middle plate (cut edge, thickness: 14-20mm, width: 1500mm) 304 material - 16700 yuan/ton, 321 material 21,200 yuan/ton, 316L material 28400 yuan/ton.
2, Dongte hot rolling guide price:
S30408 material 4-12mm 13500 yuan/ton, 14mm 13700 yuan/ton; 13900 yuan/ton for 16mm;
S31603 material 4-12mm 23500 yuan/ton, 14mm 23800 yuan/ton; 24,000 yuan/ton of 16mm;
310S hot rolled plate 3, 4mm 34800 yuan/ton, 5-10mm 344000 yuan/ton, 12mm 34300 yuan/ton, 14mm 35300 yuan/ton.
2205 Hot rolling 24,900 yuan/ton
3, Qingshan hot rolling: 304 material 13300 yuan/ton; Dingxin 310S material 3mm 33900 yuan/ton, 4mm 34,000 yuan/ton, 5-10mm 33800 yuan/ton.
4, Zhangpu guide price: 304 material 13,600 yuan/ton, 321 hot rolled 16,300 yuan/ton; 316L hot rolling 23500 yuan/ton.
Third, stainless steel pipe rod reference price
1, [Qingshan round steel price ¢65-130 April price] S30400 material 13,100 yuan/ton, 316L material seal, TP321 material 16,000 yuan/ton, 321 material 14,800 yuan/ton.
2, 【 Zhejiang Friendship New materials 】S30400 material in April price of 160-260 12900 yuan/ton, 300-360 13,000 yuan/ton. 316L material 22600 yuan/ton of 160-260, 22700 yuan/ton of 300-360. 2205 Material ¢160-260 23800 yuan/ton.
3, [Yongxing bar ¢65-130] 304 material 16,500 yuan/ton, TP321 material 19000 yuan/ton, 316L material 28000 yuan/ton, 316LGB material 31000 yuan/ton, S22053 material 29500 yuan/ton.
4. 【 Fukai Market price 】 :
1), 2205 (F60) material - 150-300 round steel 23400 yuan/ton; ¢65-130 round steel 24300 yuan/ton;
2) 310S material ¢65-130 of 34,300 yuan/ton; ¢34,000 yuan/ton for 150-300.
3), S32750 (F53) material - 150-300 round steel 31200 yuan/ton; ¢65-130 round steel 34,000 yuan/ton.
4), 316L¢65-130 round steel 25200 yuan/ton; 316Ti¢65-130 round steel 28600 yuan/ton; National standard 316L¢65-130 round steel 31200 yuan/ton; German standard 316 material ¢65-130 round steel 28100 yuan/ton;
5), 321H material ¢65-130 18200 yuan/ton; 347H material ¢65-130 21500 yuan/ton;
6), NO8810¢200-250 round steel 68300 yuan/ton; ¢65-130 round steel 71500 yuan/ton.
7), NO7718¢200-250 round steel 165,000 yuan/ton; ¢65-130 round steel 170,000 yuan/ton;
8), NO8028¢200-250 round steel 97000 yuan/ton,¢65-130 round steel 97000 yuan/ton;
9), 630 material (17-4) ¢150-300 round steel 15500 yuan/ton, ¢65-130 round steel 16300 yuan/ton;
10), NO6625 material ¢200-250 192000 yuan/ton; ¢65-130 round steel 195,000 yuan/ton;
11), 6600 vacuum electroslag ingot ¢360-900:160,000 yuan/ton;
12), NO10276¢200-250 of 223000 yuan/ton; ¢65-130 round steel 228000 yuan/ton;
13), XM-19¢65-130 round steel 36,500 yuan/ton;
14), S31254 material ¢65-130 round steel 62200 yuan/ton.
15), 904L material ¢65-130 round steel 64,000 yuan/ton.
16), NO8926/1.4529 material ¢65-130 round steel 79,000 yuan/ton, ¢200-250 round steel 81,500 yuan/ton;
17), NO8825 material ¢65-130 round steel 103,000 yuan/ton, ¢200-250 round steel 100,000 yuan/ton; 13), NO7718 material ¢65-130 round steel 172000 yuan/ton. N10276 material ¢65-130 round steel 233,000 yuan/ton
18), Wuxi Puheng Forging round 304L material of 15,000 yuan/ton of 140-250, 16300 yuan/ton of 260-400; 316L material - 25800 yuan/ton of 140-250, 26000 yuan/ton of 260-400.
5, 【 Zhejiang Benji pipe reference price 】
Stainless steel seamless pipe 30408 material, specifications 25*2*6000 cold drawn pipe pickling delivery - 26.1 yuan /kg;
Stainless steel seamless pipe S31603 material, specifications 25*2*6000 cold drawn pipe pickling delivery - 38.2 yuan /kg;
Stainless steel seamless pipe S32168 material, specifications 25*2*6000 cold drawn pipe pickling delivery - 30.1 yuan /kg;
Stainless steel welded pipe 30408 material, specification 219-813*4-6 pickling pound delivery -- 19.9 yuan /kg;
Stainless steel welded pipe S31603 material, specification 219-813*4-6 pickling pound delivery -- 31.9 yuan /kg;
Stainless steel welded pipe 32168 material, specification 219-813*4-6 pickling pound delivery - 25.8 yuan /kg.
Iv. Statistical Data:
According to Mysteel:
On April 11, 2024, the national mainstream market stainless steel social inventory of 1,184,125 tons, an increase of 6,451 tons over the previous week, an increase of 0.55%, of which:
Cold-rolled stainless steel inventory of 717,704 tons, an increase of 18,896 tons over the previous week, an increase of 2.70%;
The total inventory of hot-rolled stainless steel is 466421 tons, down 12,445 tons from last week, a decrease of 2.60%;
The total inventory of 200 series is 208,622 tons, down 4,796 tons from last week, a decrease of 2.25%;
The total inventory of 300 series is 756,980 tons, an increase of 5836 tons over the previous week, an increase of 0.78%;
The total inventory of 400 series is 218,523 tons, an increase of 5411 tons over the previous week, an increase of 2.54%.
Wuxi inventory 688,698 tons, an increase of 26,586 tons over the previous week, an increase of 4.02%;
Foshan inventory of 356,642 tons, 14689 tons less than last week, a decrease of 3.96%;
Stocks in Zibo, Jieyang, Shenyang and Xi an were 138,785 tons, down 5,446 tons from last week, a decrease of 3.78%.
5. Market analysis
That Indonesia has now become a big (and growing) player in the nickel market hardly comes as a shock to them. Indonesia is estimated to account for about half of global primary nickel production in the coming years, giving the country significant control over the direction of the market.
Indonesia has also been very clear about its intention to keep nickel prices below $18,000 a tonne. According to the Financial Times, more than half of the worlds nickel production would be unprofitable if prices fell as low as $16,500. Indonesia, however, is largely immune because of its use of cheaper energy sources such as coal. In the absence of government support, falling prices look set to take more production offline. If that happens, it could provide support to the market. However, as production levels in Indonesia continue to rise, downside risks to prices remain.
The current supply of 304 stainless steel is strong and weak, the inventory pressure is large, and the rebound in nickel prices has triggered an increase in buying activities. However, with nickel prices starting to pull back, sentiment seems to have weakened as the stainless steel surcharge looks set to fall again. At the end of the first quarter, dealers still described the stainless steel market as "slow."
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