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Nickel ore remains strong, stainless steel plants reduce production schedules to ease supply-demand conflicts
Postdate:2024-07-08 Views:368
1、 Raw material report:
1. Nickel: On July 8th, London nickel was $17384, up $43, or 0.25%; The latest price of Shanghai nickel 2409 is 138620 yuan, up 1420 yuan, or 1.03%; Shanghai high carbon ferrochrome FeCr55C1000 (50 base) costs 9050 yuan/50 base tons. Luoyang molybdenum iron is 233500 yuan/ton, down 1500 yuan.
2. The latest price of stainless steel SS2409 is 142920 yuan, up $70 or 0.49%; The holding amount is 151039 lots, and the trading volume is 110755 lots.
3. Purchase price of waste stainless steel at Fujian Qingtuo Yongchang Freight Yard:
1) 304 first grade white material (small punch plate, laser material, round steel, edge wire) costs 10100-10200 yuan/ton, and 304 new pipe head edge material costs 10000 yuan/ton.
2) 316 new pipe head corner material costs 18600 yuan/ton, and 316 first grade white material (small punching plate, laser material, round steel, edge wire) costs 18700-18800 yuan/ton.
3) 2205 whiteboard, thick tube, and round steel are priced at 18400 yuan/ton, 2507 whiteboard, thick tube, and round steel are priced at 21700 yuan/ton, and 2520 whiteboard, tube plate, and round steel are to be received.
2、 Wuxi stainless steel plate coil reference price
1. Taiyuan Iron and Steel Hot Rolling Guide Price:
300 hot-rolled series: 15400 yuan/ton for 304/NO.1; 16200 yuan/ton for 321/NO.1; 25800 yuan/ton for 316L/NO.1.
Middle plate (cut edge, thickness: 14-20mm, width: 1500mm) 304 material -16900 yuan/ton, 321 material: 19300 yuan/ton, 316L material: 28800 yuan/ton.
2. Dongte Hot Rolling Guide Price:
S30408 material: 13600 yuan/ton for 4-12mm, 13800 yuan/ton for 14mm; 14000 yuan/ton for 16mm;
S31603 material costs 24400 yuan/ton for 4-12mm and 24700 yuan/ton for 14mm; 24900 yuan/ton for 16mm;
310S hot-rolled flat plates are priced at 35300 yuan/ton for 4mm, 34500 yuan/ton for 5-10mm, 34800 yuan/ton for 12mm, and 35800 yuan/ton for 14mm.
2205 hot-rolled 25900 yuan/ton
3. Qingshan hot rolling: 304 material, 13400 yuan/ton; Dingxin 310S material costs 34600 yuan/ton for 3mm, 34700 yuan/ton for 4mm, and 34500 yuan/ton for 5-10mm.
4. Zhangpu guide price: 13800 yuan/ton for 304 material, 16300 yuan/ton for 321 hot-rolled; 316L hot-rolled at 24900 yuan/ton.
3、 Reference price for stainless steel pipes and rods
1. The June price of Qingshan round steel is ? 65-130. S30400 material costs 13300 yuan/ton, 316L material costs 23500 yuan/ton, TP321 material costs 16100 yuan/ton, and 321 material costs 14900 yuan/ton.
2. Zhejiang Friendship New Material Continuous Casting Billet: The price of 304 material is 12800 yuan/ton for ? 160-260, and 12900 yuan/ton for ? 300-360. 316L material costs 23100 yuan/ton for ? 160-260, and 23200 yuan/ton for ? 300-360. 2205 material ? 160-260, 24200 yuan/ton. 29800 yuan/ton for 2507 material ? 160-260.
3. Yongxing bar material ? 65-130: 304 material costs 16000 yuan/ton, TP321 material costs 1850 yuan/ton, 316L material costs 27800 yuan/ton, 316LGB material costs 30800 yuan/ton, S22053 material costs 29300 yuan/ton.
4. [Fukai Market Price]:
1) 2205 (F60) material ? 150-300 round steel 24300 yuan/ton; ? 65-130 round steel, 24800 yuan/ton;
2) 310S material: 33500 yuan/ton for ? 150-300, 33800 yuan/ton for ? 65-130; 27300 yuan/ton for 309S material ? 65-130;
3) S32750 (F53) material ? 150-300 round steel 29800 yuan/ton; ? 65-130 round steel, 32500 yuan/ton. S32760 (F55) material ? 65-130 round steel 37000 yuan/ton.
4) 316L ? 65-130 round steel, 25200 yuan/ton; 316Ti ? 65-130 round steel 28500 yuan/ton; National standard 316L ? 65-130 round steel 32000 yuan/ton; German standard 316 material ? 65-130 round steel 28300 yuan/ton; 317L ? 65-130 round steel, 34300 yuan/ton;
5) 18300 yuan/ton for 321H material ? 65-130; 20000 yuan/ton for 347H material ? 65-130;
6) NO8810 ? 200-250 round steel 66000 yuan/ton; ? 65-130 yuan/ton for round steel.
7) NO7718 ? 200-250 round steel 164000 yuan/ton; 165000 yuan/ton for round steel of ? 65-130;
8) NO8028 ? 200-250 round steel costs 86000 yuan/ton, ? 65-130 round steel costs 88000 yuan/ton;
9) NO8120 ? 200-250 round steel costs 83000 yuan/ton, ? 65-130 round steel costs 84000 yuan/ton;
10) 630 material (17-4) ? 150-300 round steel 16000 yuan/ton, ? 65-130 round steel 16000 yuan/ton; 631 material (17-7) ? 65-130 round steel 17800 yuan/ton; 632 material (15-7Mo) ? 65-130 round steel 28500 yuan/ton;
11) 195000 yuan/ton for NO6625 material ? 200-250; ? 65-130 round steel 195000 yuan/ton;
12) 119000 yuan/ton for NO6601 material ? 200-250; 120000 yuan/ton for ? 65-130.
13) 137000 yuan/ton for NO6600 material ? 200-250; 140000 yuan/ton for ? 65-130.
14) 216000 yuan/ton for NO10276 ? 200-250; ? 65-130 round steel, 218000 yuan/ton;
15) XM-19 ? 65-130 round steel at 34000 yuan/ton;
16) S31254 material ? 65-130 round steel 61000 yuan/ton.
17) 904L material ? 65-130 round steel 62500 yuan/ton.
18) NO8926/1.4529 material ? 200-250 round steel 86000 yuan/ton, ? 65-130 round steel 71000 yuan/ton,;
19) NO8825 material ? 200-250 round steel 97000 yuan/ton, ? 65-130 round steel 98000 yuan/ton;
20) XM-19 material ? 65-130 round steel costs 34000 yuan/ton, and 15-5PH (XM-12) material ? 65-130 round steel costs 18000 yuan/ton.
21) 159000 yuan/ton for NO3030 material ? 200-250; ¥ 65-130 round steel costs 160000 yuan/ton.
155000 yuan/ton for NO4400 material ? 200-250;
22) 148000 yuan/ton for NO4400 material ? 200-250; ¥ 65-130 round steel costs 150000 yuan/ton.
23) 1.4460 material ? 65-130 round steel costs 22800 yuan/ton.
24) Wuxi Puheng Forged Round 304L Material: 14800 yuan/ton for ? 140-250, 15500 yuan/ton for ? 260-400; 316L material costs 25500 yuan/ton for ? 140-250, and 25700 yuan/ton for ? 260-400.
5. [Zhejiang Benji Pipe Reference Price]
Stainless steel seamless pipe 30408 material, specification 25 * 2 * 6000 cold drawn pipe, acid washed and weighed for delivery -26.1 yuan/kg;
Stainless steel seamless pipe S31603 material, specification 25 * 2 * 6000 cold drawn pipe, acid washed and weighed for delivery -39.3 yuan/kg;
Stainless steel seamless pipe S32168 material, specification 25 * 2 * 6000 cold drawn pipe, acid washed and weighed for delivery -30.4 yuan/kg;
Stainless steel welded pipe 30408 material, specification 219-813 * 4-6, acid washed and weighed for delivery -20 yuan/kg;
Stainless steel welded pipe S31603 material, specification 219-813 * 4-6, acid washed and weighed for delivery -33 yuan/kg;
Stainless steel welded pipe 32168 material, specification 219-813 * 4-6, acid washed and weighed for delivery -25.9 yuan/kg.
4、 Statistical data:
According to Mysteel research:
On July 4, 2024, the social inventory of stainless steel in the mainstream market nationwide was 1080855 tons, a decrease of 6028 tons or 0.57% from last week. Among them:
The total inventory of cold-rolled stainless steel is 708939 tons, an increase of 7417 tons or 1.06% compared to last week;
The total inventory of hot-rolled stainless steel is 371916 tons, a decrease of 13625 tons or 3.53% compared to last week;
The total inventory of the 200 series is 204623 tons, a decrease of 5122 tons or 2.44% compared to last week;
The total inventory of the 300 series is 708917 tons, an increase of 3804 tons or 0.54% compared to the previous week;
The total inventory of the 400 series is 167315 tons, a decrease of 4890 tons or 2.84% compared to last week.
Wuxis inventory is 670106 tons, a decrease of 7768 tons or 1.15% compared to last week;
Foshans inventory is 303422 tons, a decrease of 3158 tons or 1.03% compared to last week;
Zibo, Jieyang, Shenyang, and Xian have 107327 tons of inventory, an increase of 4718 tons or 4.60% compared to last week.
5、 Market analysis
1. Molybdenum Fundamental Analysis
On July 8th, Qingshan Group bid for molybdenum iron at a price of 230000 yuan/ton, in cash. The molybdenum market remains wait-and-see, and both buyers and sellers continue to engage in a game.
2. Fundamental analysis of stainless steel
Last week, stainless steel saw a slight increase.
From the supply side perspective, the production of stainless steel in June decreased month on month, and there is a possibility of further decline in production in July. The expectation of supply contraction is supported. There has been progress in the approval of nickel ore quotas in Indonesia, and the pressure on the mining side has weakened. However, nickel ore remains strong in June, and cost support is still ongoing. In July, mining support may gradually weaken, but Indonesian industrial policies may cause disturbances to the future production of nickel pig iron and high ice nickel. From the demand side, the performance of the demand situation is average. The favorable policies for real estate have been introduced, and there may be room for improvement in the demand for stainless steel, but it will take time to reflect.
Due to the reduction of production schedules by stainless steel plants, the supply-demand contradiction has eased to some extent, and the bottom support brought by industrial costs has limited space below prices. However, poor demand continues to suppress the space above prices. Short term stainless steel prices are expected to experience narrow fluctuations.
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