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Stainless steel production continues to release, downstream demand growth rate is relatively weak
Postdate:2024-09-04 Views:344
1、 Raw material report:
1. Nickel: On September 3rd, the closing price of nickel in London was $16462, down $163, or 0.98%; The closing price of Shanghai Nickel 2410 was 126540 yuan, down 2220 yuan, or 1.72%; Shanghai high carbon ferrochrome FeCr55C1000 (50 basis) 8700 yuan/50 basis tons. Luoyang molybdenum iron is 241000 yuan/ton, up 500 yuan.
2. The latest price of stainless steel SS2411 is 13500 yuan, a decrease of 85 yuan or 0.63%; The holding volume is 142622 lots and the trading volume is 41475 lots.
3. Fujian Qingtuo Yongchang Freight Yard Waste Stainless Steel Purchase Price:
1) 304 first grade white material (small punch plate, laser material, round steel, edge wire) costs 10200-10260 yuan/ton, and 304 new pipe head edge material costs 10150 yuan/ton.
2) 316 new pipe head corner material, first grade white material (small punch plate, laser material, round steel, edge wire) 18800-19000 yuan/ton.
3) 2205 whiteboard, thick tube, round steel 18600 yuan/ton, 2507 whiteboard, thick tube, round steel 22200 yuan/ton, 2520 white material, tube plate, round steel 23300 yuan/ton.
2、 Wuxi stainless steel coil reference price
1. Taiyuan Iron and Steel Hot Rolling Guide Price:
300 hot rolling series: 15300 yuan/ton for 304/NO.1; 15900 yuan/ton for 321/NO.1; 25700 yuan/ton for 316L/NO.1.
Medium plate (trimmed, thickness: 14-20mm, width: 1500mm) made of 304 material -16800 yuan/ton, 321 material: 19200 yuan/ton, 316L material: 28700 yuan/ton.
2. Dongte Hot Rolling Guide Price:
S30408 material costs 13400 yuan/ton for 4-12mm and 13600 yuan/ton for 14mm; 13800 yuan/ton for 16mm;
S31603 material 4-12mm costs 24300 yuan/ton, 14mm costs 24600 yuan/ton; 24800 yuan/ton for 16mm;
310S hot-rolled flat plate 3 and 4mm costs 34700 yuan/ton, 5-10mm costs 33900 yuan/ton, 12mm costs 34100 yuan/ton, and 14mm costs 35100 yuan/ton.
2205 hot rolling 25600 yuan/ton
3. Qingshan Hot Rolling: 304 material 13300 yuan/ton; Dingxin 310S material is priced at 34000 yuan/ton for 3mm, 34100 yuan/ton for 4mm, and 33900 yuan/ton for 5-10mm.
4. Zhangpu guide price: 13500 yuan/ton for 304 material, 16300 yuan/ton for 321 hot rolling; 316L hot rolling costs 24600 yuan/ton.
3、 Reference price for stainless steel tube and rod
1. The August price of Qingshan round steel is between 65-130 yuan. S30400 material costs 13300 yuan/ton, 316L material costs 23700 yuan/ton, TP321 material costs 16100 yuan/ton, 321 material costs 14900 yuan/ton, S22053 material costs 24200 yuan/ton, and 310S material costs 33200 yuan/ton.
2. 【 Zhejiang Friendship New Material Continuous Casting Billet 】 The price of 304 material is 13150 yuan/ton for ¢ 160-260 and 13250 yuan/ton for ¢ 300-360. 316L material costs 23600 yuan/ton for ¢ 160-260 and 23700 yuan/ton for ¢ 300-360. 2205 material ¢ 160-260, priced at 24200 yuan/ton. 29800 yuan/ton for 2507 material ¢ 160-260.
3. 【 Yongxing Bar Material ¢ 65-130 】 304 material costs 16000 yuan/ton, TP321 material costs 18500 yuan/ton, 316L material costs 27800 yuan/ton, 316LGB material costs 30800 yuan/ton, and S22053 material costs 29300 yuan/ton.
4. 【 Fukai Market Price 】:
1) 2205 (F60) material ¢ 150-300 round steel 24600 yuan/ton; 65-130 round steel 24800 yuan/ton;
2) 310S material costs 32800 yuan/ton for ¢ 150-300 and 33300 yuan/ton for ¢ 65-130; 26000 yuan/ton for 309S material ¢ 65-130;
3) S32750 (F53) material ¢ 150-300 round steel 29800 yuan/ton; 65-130 round steel costs 33000 yuan/ton. S32760 (F55) material ¢ 65-130 round steel 38000 yuan/ton.
4) 316L ¢ 65-130 round steel at 25200 yuan/ton; 316Ti ¢ 65-130 round steel 27200 yuan/ton; National standard 316L ¢ 65-130 round steel 29500 yuan/ton; German standard 316 material ¢ 65-130 round steel 27500 yuan/ton; 317L ¢ 65-130 round steel 34000 yuan/ton;
5) 17800 yuan/ton for 321H material ¢ 65-130; 19500 yuan/ton for 347H material ¢ 65-130;
6) NO7718 ¢ 200-250 round steel 156000 yuan/ton; 65-130 round steel 155000 yuan/ton;
7) NO8810 ¢ 200-250 round steel 62000 yuan/ton; 65-130 round steel priced at 63000 yuan/ton.
8) NO8926/1.4529 Material: 200-250 round steel 82000 yuan/ton, 65-130 round steel 70000 yuan/ton,;
9) NO8825 material: ¢ 200-250 round steel 87000 yuan/ton, ¢ 65-130 round steel 89000 yuan/ton;
10) NO8028 ¢ 200-250 round steel costs 79000 yuan/ton, and ¢ 65-130 round steel costs 81500 yuan/ton;
11) NO8120 ¢ 200-250 round steel costs 77000 yuan/ton, and ¢ 65-130 round steel costs 80000 yuan/ton;
12) 630 material (17-4) ¢ 150-300 round steel 15300 yuan/ton, ¢ 65-130 round steel 15800 yuan/ton; 631 material (17-7) ¢¢ 65-130 round steel 17500 yuan/ton; 632 material (15-7Mo) ¢¢ 65-130 round steel, priced at 28500 yuan/ton;
13) 180000 yuan/ton for NO6625 material ¢ 200-250; ¢ 65-130 round steel 183000 yuan/ton;
14) 112000 yuan/ton for NO6601 material ¢ 200-250; 113500 yuan/ton for ¢ 65-130.
15) 132000 yuan/ton for NO6600 material ¢ 200-250; 132000 yuan/ton for ¢ 65-130.
16) 200000 yuan/ton for NO10276 ¢ 200-250; 65-130 round steel priced at 205000 yuan/ton;
17) XM-19 ¢ 65-130 round steel at 33700 yuan/ton;
18) S31254 material ¢ 65-130 round steel 58500 yuan/ton.
19) 904L material ¢ 65-130 round steel 59000 yuan/ton.
20) XM-19 material ¢ 65-130 round steel costs 33500 yuan/ton, 15-5PH (XM-12) material ¢ 65-130 round steel costs 17200 yuan/ton.
21) NO3030 material ¢ 200-250 costs 150000 yuan/ton; 65-130 round steel costs 152000 yuan/ton.
155000 yuan/ton for NO4400 material ¢ 200-250;
22) 138000 yuan/ton for NO4400 material ¢ 200-250; 65-130 round steel costs 138000 yuan/ton.
23) 1.4460 material ¢ 65-130 round steel 23000 yuan/ton.
24) Wuxi Puheng forged round 304L material costs 14800 yuan/ton for ¢ 140-250 and 15500 yuan/ton for ¢ 260-400; 316L material costs 25500 yuan/ton for sizes 140-250 and 25700 yuan/ton for sizes 260-400.
5. Zhejiang Benji Pipe Reference Price
Stainless steel seamless tube 30408 material, specification 25 * 2 * 6000 cold drawn tube acid washed and weighed delivery -26.2 yuan/kg;
Stainless steel seamless tube S31603 material, specification 25 * 2 * 6000 cold drawn tube acid washed and weighed delivery -39.3 yuan/kg;
Stainless steel seamless tube S32168 material, specification 25 * 2 * 6000 cold drawn tube acid washed and weighed delivery -30.5 yuan/kg;
Stainless steel welded pipe made of 30408 material, specification 219-813 * 4-6, acid washed and weighed for delivery -20 yuan/kg;
Stainless steel welded pipe S31603 material, specification 219-813 * 4-6 acid washed weighing delivery -33 yuan/kg;
Stainless steel welded pipe 32168 material, specification 219-813 * 4-6 acid washed weighing delivery -25.9 yuan/kg.
4、 Statistical data:
According to Mysteel research:
As of August 29th, the total amount of domestic stainless steel floating at sea was 22600 tons, with a total of 11 ships, a decrease of 3100 tons compared to the previous period. 22600 tons were sent from Fujian port and 0 tons were sent from Jiangsu port. From August 22nd to August 29th, the total amount of domestic stainless steel unloaded at the port was 46610 tons, a decrease of 9340 tons compared to the previous period; Foshan has 21330 tons, a decrease of 18390 tons compared to the previous period; Wuxi has 25280 tons, an increase of 9050 tons compared to the previous period; 41410 tons from Fujian port and 5200 tons from Jiangsu port. (Jiangsu steel mills often use small boats or cars for shipping to Wuxi, which is not within the monitoring range)
5、 Market analysis
On the raw material side, the actual metal production of nickel pig iron in China and Indonesia in July 2024 totaled 148400 tons, an increase of 3.79% month on month and a decrease of 5.18% year-on-year. The total production of nickel pig iron in China and Indonesia from January to July 2024 was 1.0205 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 1.5%. Among them, the production of medium and high nickel pig iron and nickel metal was 976600 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 0.93%.
On the supply side, in July 2024, the crude steel production of 43 domestic stainless steel plants was 3.30825 million tons, an increase of 19600 tons month on month, an increase of 0.6%, and a year-on-year increase of 3.5%. In August, the production was 3.3867 million tons, an increase of 2.37% month on month, and a year-on-year increase of 4.04%. Stainless steel supply is still at a high level during the same period. Domestic stainless steel production continues to release, with production scheduling still at a high level, and both China and Indonesia have successively added stainless steel production capacity, making it difficult to alleviate supply pressure.
On the demand side, compared to the supply growth rate, the current downstream demand growth rate is relatively weak. Recently, the progress of domestic special bond issuance has accelerated, but the driving effect on infrastructure projects and the driving effect transmitted to stainless steel demand still need to be observed. The demand for home appliances and other manufacturing industries is good. Overall, the supply and demand pattern of stainless steel is relatively loose, with high inventory fluctuations and downstream demand still not showing significant improvement.
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